Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Clarkson wins 40.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Clarkson 44.3% vs Gaustad 56.7% (-15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Clarkson 89.4%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 90.1%
Neutral zone
Clarkson 50.1%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Clarkson
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Clarkson
Gaustad
Last 5: Clarkson 2-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Clarkson
2
0
Clarkson
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Clarkson
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Clarkson
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Clarkson
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (109)
57.8% (854)
-17.4%
Power Play
43.2% (132)
56.0% (25)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
55.1% (263)
+44.9%
On penalty kill, Clarkson has a +44.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Clarkson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Clarkson shoots right. Gaustad is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Home / Away
Clarkson
Gaustad
Home
46.7% (107)
61.3% (633)
Away
38.2% (136)
52.4% (517)
By Period
Clarkson
Gaustad
P1
36.6%
57.9%
P2
37.8%
55.3%
P3
50.0%
58.3%
OT
50.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
37.8%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Clarkson
28.0%▼
35.5%
42.0%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | David Clarkson |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | David Clarkson |