Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Desharnais shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 44.1% vs Desharnais 50.8% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Desharnais 65.0%
Defensive zone
Desharnais 78.4%
Neutral zone
Desharnais 72.3%
Result
David Desharnais favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Shaw
Desharnais
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Shaw
Desharnais
Last 6: Shaw 4-2 Desharnais
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Desharnais
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Desharnais
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Desharnais
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Desharnais
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (636)
50.1% (973)
-6.2%
Power Play
32.4% (37)
57.9% (202)
-25.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
25.9% (27)
+19.6%
On power play, Desharnais has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Desharnais shoots left. Shaw is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Shaw shoots right. Desharnais is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Shaw
Desharnais
Home
46.3% (363)
52.7% (592)
Away
39.9% (321)
49.0% (610)
By Period
Shaw
Desharnais
P1
47.4%
52.2%
P2
43.0%
52.5%
P3
40.0%
47.7%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.3%
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2014 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Apr 9, 2014 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 9, 2014 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 3 | 02:17 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 15:58 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 13:21 | Neutral | David Desharnais |