Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Desharnais on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Reilly wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Desharnais shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 46.2% vs Desharnais 49.5% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 60.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 66.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 68.5%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
O'Reilly
Desharnais
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
O'Reilly
Desharnais
Last 6: O'Reilly 1-5 Desharnais
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
0
2
O'Reilly
Desharnais
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
0
1
O'Reilly
Desharnais
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Desharnais
1
2
O'Reilly
Desharnais
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Desharnais
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (238)
47.5% (1,022)
-3.0%
Power Play
48.3% (29)
57.5% (273)
-9.2%
On power play, Desharnais has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Desharnais shoots left. O'Reilly is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (179).
O'Reilly shoots left. Desharnais is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (902).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Desharnais
Home
50.9% (112)
49.8% (701)
Away
40.4% (156)
49.1% (670)
By Period
O'Reilly
Desharnais
P1
56.5%
48.8%
P2
40.4%
53.2%
P3
36.3%
46.0%
OT
75.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
35.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
44.8%
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2012 | 3 | 03:00 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 2 | 16:10 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 1 | 19:39 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 1 | 13:23 | Neutral | David Desharnais |