Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Desharnais on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kelly wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Desharnais shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 48.8% vs Desharnais 52.7% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Desharnais 54.7%
Defensive zone
Kelly 88.5%
Neutral zone
Kelly 69.7%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Kelly
Desharnais
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kelly
Desharnais
Last 7: Kelly 2-5 Desharnais
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
0
3
Kelly
Desharnais
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kelly
Desharnais
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Desharnais
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (433)
51.4% (994)
-1.7%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
61.5% (187)
-32.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (99)
37.5% (8)
+8.0%
On power play, Desharnais has a +32.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Desharnais shoots left. Kelly is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Kelly shoots left. Desharnais is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Kelly
Desharnais
Home
53.9% (297)
53.8% (610)
Away
42.1% (242)
52.0% (579)
By Period
Kelly
Desharnais
P1
45.4%
49.7%
P2
46.1%
57.7%
P3
54.3%
49.9%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.5%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
48.6%
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 16:04 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 12:28 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Desharnais |