Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hodgson on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.8% vs Desharnais 49.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Desharnais 67.4%
Defensive zone
Desharnais 70.4%
Neutral zone
Desharnais 66.8%
Result
David Desharnais favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Hodgson
Desharnais
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Hodgson
Desharnais
Last 7: Hodgson 5-2 Desharnais
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
2
0
Hodgson
Desharnais
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
3
2
Hodgson
Desharnais
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Desharnais
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (563)
47.5% (1,022)
-1.1%
Power Play
47.1% (121)
57.5% (273)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (21)
53.5% (43)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Desharnais has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Desharnais shoots left. Hodgson is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Hodgson shoots right. Desharnais is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (469).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Desharnais
Home
50.3% (286)
49.8% (701)
Away
43.6% (424)
49.1% (670)
By Period
Hodgson
Desharnais
P1
48.2%
48.8%
P2
49.2%
53.2%
P3
41.9%
46.0%
OT
22.2%
47.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.3%
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 1 | 07:00 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |