Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 50.0% vs Stepan 46.2% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 62.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 72.3%
Neutral zone
Stepan 67.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Desharnais
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Desharnais
Stepan
Last 10: Desharnais 4-6 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
2
Desharnais
Stepan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
4
Desharnais
Stepan
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
4
Desharnais
Stepan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (595)
48.0% (750)
+0.6%
Power Play
57.8% (154)
36.3% (113)
+21.5%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
41.6% (113)
-14.9%
On power play, Desharnais has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Desharnais is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Desharnais shoots left. Stepan is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (617).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Stepan
Home
49.0% (402)
47.4% (460)
Away
51.1% (362)
44.5% (517)
By Period
Desharnais
Stepan
P1
56.5%
50.3%
P2
47.5%
38.4%
P3
45.8%
49.4%
OT
40.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
51.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
50.0%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 18:26 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 13:45 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 13:36 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 07:01 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 08:56 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:12 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 19:07 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 03:11 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |