Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 48.8% vs Stepan 47.0% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 62.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 71.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 63.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Desharnais
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Desharnais
Stepan
Last 10: Desharnais 3-7 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
1
0
Desharnais
Stepan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
3
Desharnais
Stepan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
4
Desharnais
Stepan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (704)
46.6% (889)
+0.3%
Power Play
64.5% (93)
46.9% (113)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
47.5% (101)
-30.8%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Desharnais is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Desharnais shoots left. Stepan is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Stepan
Home
50.8% (374)
47.7% (555)
Away
46.9% (429)
45.6% (548)
By Period
Desharnais
Stepan
P1
46.0%
46.4%
P2
50.2%
45.7%
P3
50.2%
48.5%
OT
40.0%
35.3%
Final 5 min
48.4%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
48.7%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 15:38 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 02:29 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 02:22 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 00:17 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 17:42 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 02:25 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | David Desharnais |