Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Desharnais on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Desharnais wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — McKegg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 54.4% vs McKegg 49.5% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Desharnais 77.0%
Defensive zone
McKegg 54.7%
Neutral zone
Desharnais 72.5%
Result
David Desharnais favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Desharnais
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Desharnais
McKegg
Last 5: Desharnais 3-2 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
0
1
Desharnais
McKegg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Desharnais
3
1
Desharnais
McKegg
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (630)
48.1% (189)
+6.5%
Power Play
58.0% (69)
25.0% (4)
+33.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
57.5% (40)
+42.5%
On penalty kill, Desharnais has a +42.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Desharnais is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Desharnais shoots left. McKegg is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Desharnais
McKegg
Home
57.1% (340)
52.9% (102)
Away
53.2% (361)
46.6% (131)
By Period
Desharnais
McKegg
P1
50.9%
48.5%
P2
60.0%
49.4%
P3
54.0%
50.9%
Final 5 min
55.4%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.1%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 18:01 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 18:39 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 13:30 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |