Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Desharnais on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 50.9% vs Beagle 56.7% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Desharnais leads 19-11 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Desharnais 56.6%
Defensive zone
Beagle 84.5%
Neutral zone
Beagle 77.4%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Desharnais
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
11
(30 meetings)
19
11
Desharnais
Beagle
Last 10: Desharnais 4-6 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
10
2
Desharnais
Beagle
12 total
Defensive Zone
Even
7
7
Desharnais
Beagle
14 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Desharnais
Beagle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (5,585)
57.5% (4,994)
-7.6%
Power Play
58.2% (1,058)
60.5% (119)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (128)
54.2% (1,554)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Desharnais is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Desharnais shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Beagle
Home
52.0% (3,426)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
49.9% (3,381)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
Desharnais
Beagle
P1
51.1%
57.4%
P2
53.1%
57.1%
P3
48.5%
56.2%
OT
51.2%
41.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
50.9%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 08:44 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 05:57 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 13:54 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 16:39 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 05:40 | Neutral | David Desharnais |