Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 48.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 48.8% vs Carter 48.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 52.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 51.6%
Neutral zone
Desharnais 50.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Desharnais
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Desharnais
Carter
Last 8: Desharnais 6-2 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
2
0
Desharnais
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
2
0
Desharnais
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Desharnais
Carter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (704)
48.5% (977)
-1.6%
Power Play
64.5% (93)
57.8% (128)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
40.7% (123)
-24.0%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Desharnais is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Desharnais shoots left. Carter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (836).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Carter
Home
50.8% (374)
50.8% (597)
Away
46.9% (429)
46.8% (631)
By Period
Desharnais
Carter
P1
46.0%
48.8%
P2
50.2%
48.0%
P3
50.2%
49.4%
OT
40.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
48.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
48.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 02:48 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 19:18 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 00:29 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |