Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 48.8% vs Tavares 53.8% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Desharnais 68.2%
Defensive zone
Desharnais 74.2%
Neutral zone
Desharnais 68.8%
Result
David Desharnais favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Desharnais
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
11
(13 meetings)
2
11
Desharnais
Tavares
Last 10: Desharnais 2-8 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
Desharnais
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
2
1
Desharnais
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
6
Desharnais
Tavares
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (704)
54.0% (1,077)
-7.1%
Power Play
64.5% (93)
54.5% (275)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
50.0% (18)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Desharnais is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Desharnais shoots left. Tavares is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Tavares
Home
50.8% (374)
56.8% (655)
Away
46.9% (429)
51.6% (715)
By Period
Desharnais
Tavares
P1
46.0%
54.1%
P2
50.2%
53.9%
P3
50.2%
54.3%
OT
40.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
48.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
48.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2015 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 22, 2015 | 1 | 18:20 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 22, 2015 | 1 | 16:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 22, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 1 | 02:52 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 20, 2015 | 1 | 00:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |