Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Desharnais wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 54.4% vs Tavares 52.7% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Desharnais 54.5%
Defensive zone
Desharnais 54.8%
Neutral zone
Desharnais 62.0%
Result
David Desharnais favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Desharnais
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Desharnais
Tavares
Last 6: Desharnais 4-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Desharnais
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
1
0
Desharnais
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Desharnais
2
0
Desharnais
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (630)
52.9% (1,239)
+1.7%
Power Play
58.0% (69)
54.7% (309)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
50.0% (178)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Desharnais has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Desharnais is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Desharnais shoots left. Tavares is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,124).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Tavares
Home
57.1% (340)
55.0% (864)
Away
53.2% (361)
50.8% (862)
By Period
Desharnais
Tavares
P1
50.9%
51.8%
P2
60.0%
51.4%
P3
54.0%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.4%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 10:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 2 | 01:15 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | David Desharnais |