Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Desharnais wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kempe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 54.4% vs Kempe 45.3% (+16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Desharnais 69.9%
Defensive zone
Desharnais 62.8%
Neutral zone
Desharnais 72.6%
Result
David Desharnais favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Desharnais
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Desharnais
Kempe
Last 5: Desharnais 3-2 Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
0
1
Desharnais
Kempe
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Desharnais
Kempe
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Desharnais
2
0
Desharnais
Kempe
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (630)
39.7% (68)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
0.0% (2)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Desharnais has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. Desharnais is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Desharnais shoots left. Kempe is 35.8% vs left-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Kempe
Home
57.1% (340)
52.9% (17)
Away
53.2% (361)
34.0% (53)
By Period
Desharnais
Kempe
P1
50.9%
30.8%
P2
60.0%
47.8%
P3
54.0%
38.1%
Final 5 min
55.4%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.1%
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Mario Kempe |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 11:57 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Mario Kempe |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | David Desharnais |