Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 50.8% vs Erat 47.0% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Erat 73.4%
Defensive zone
Erat 67.9%
Neutral zone
Erat 72.0%
Result
Martin Erat favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Desharnais
Erat
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Desharnais
Erat
Last 5: Desharnais 1-4 Erat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Erat
0
1
Desharnais
Erat
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Desharnais
Erat
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Erat
0
2
Desharnais
Erat
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Erat
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (973)
44.4% (180)
+5.7%
Power Play
57.9% (202)
44.4% (18)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
60.0% (15)
-34.1%
On penalty kill, Erat has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Erat shoots left. Desharnais is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Desharnais shoots left. Erat is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Erat
Home
52.7% (592)
51.9% (129)
Away
49.0% (610)
35.7% (84)
By Period
Desharnais
Erat
P1
52.2%
44.4%
P2
52.5%
45.9%
P3
47.7%
47.2%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
50.8%
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Martin Erat |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 3 | 06:41 | Neutral | Martin Erat |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 2 | 05:37 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 1 | 10:11 | Neutral | Martin Erat |