Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 49.7% vs Stajan 51.4% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Desharnais 51.3%
Defensive zone
Desharnais 52.5%
Neutral zone
Desharnais 53.3%
Result
David Desharnais favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Desharnais
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Desharnais
Stajan
Last 10: Desharnais 4-6 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Desharnais
Stajan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Desharnais
Stajan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
3
Desharnais
Stajan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (363)
52.4% (731)
-2.3%
Power Play
50.9% (53)
45.8% (59)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
48.1% (52)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Desharnais is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Desharnais shoots left. Stajan is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Stajan
Home
50.9% (212)
52.9% (427)
Away
48.5% (233)
50.2% (418)
By Period
Desharnais
Stajan
P1
54.5%
49.6%
P2
51.2%
53.2%
P3
42.6%
51.5%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
49.7%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2011 | 3 | 05:37 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 2 | 07:52 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |