Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 49.5% vs Stajan 51.6% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Desharnais 76.0%
Defensive zone
Stajan 59.9%
Neutral zone
Desharnais 52.5%
Result
David Desharnais favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Desharnais
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Desharnais
Stajan
Last 10: Desharnais 3-7 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
2
1
Desharnais
Stajan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
2
Desharnais
Stajan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
5
Desharnais
Stajan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (1,022)
53.0% (509)
-5.5%
Power Play
57.5% (273)
41.4% (29)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (43)
48.0% (98)
+5.5%
On power play, Desharnais has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Desharnais is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (902).
Desharnais shoots left. Stajan is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Stajan
Home
49.8% (701)
53.8% (353)
Away
49.1% (670)
49.3% (286)
By Period
Desharnais
Stajan
P1
48.8%
52.0%
P2
53.2%
52.0%
P3
46.0%
51.0%
OT
47.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 09:49 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 18:44 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |