Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Desharnais wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 54.4% vs Koivu 51.3% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 69.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 84.6%
Neutral zone
Koivu 69.4%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 74.5%
25.5%
74.5%
Desharnais
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Desharnais
Koivu
Last 6: Desharnais 1-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Desharnais
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Desharnais
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Desharnais
1
0
Desharnais
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (630)
50.7% (1,073)
+3.9%
Power Play
58.0% (69)
65.3% (216)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
43.4% (286)
+56.6%
On penalty kill, Desharnais has a +56.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Desharnais is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Desharnais shoots left. Koivu is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Koivu
Home
57.1% (340)
50.9% (752)
Away
53.2% (361)
51.8% (823)
By Period
Desharnais
Koivu
P1
50.9%
51.9%
P2
60.0%
50.3%
P3
54.0%
51.4%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
55.4%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.1%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2018 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 2 | 14:45 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 1 | 04:12 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |