David Desharnais vs Nathan MacKinnon
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 50.6%). Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Desharnais wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 50.9% vs MacKinnon 50.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Desharnais 53.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 69.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.5%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Desharnais
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Desharnais
MacKinnon
Last 5: Desharnais 1-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Desharnais
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
3
Desharnais
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (304)
49.3% (1,167)
+3.0%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
61.0% (187)
-20.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.9% (167)
-47.9%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +47.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Desharnais is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Desharnais shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Desharnais
MacKinnon
Home
52.3% (195)
57.7% (728)
Away
49.6% (137)
44.0% (793)
By Period
Desharnais
MacKinnon
P1
56.2%
50.1%
P2
46.1%
52.5%
P3
53.3%
49.3%
OT
0.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
53.3%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
51.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 18:23 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 12:58 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 19:02 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |