Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.7%). Look for Desharnais on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 50.9% vs Dowd 50.7% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Desharnais leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Desharnais 88.5%
Defensive zone
Desharnais 52.4%
Neutral zone
Desharnais 53.6%
Result
David Desharnais favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Desharnais
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Desharnais
Dowd
Last 10: Desharnais 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
3
1
Desharnais
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
5
4
Desharnais
Dowd
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Desharnais
3
1
Desharnais
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (5,585)
52.4% (6,009)
-2.5%
Power Play
58.2% (1,058)
56.1% (164)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (128)
44.1% (1,635)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Desharnais is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Desharnais shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Dowd
Home
52.0% (3,426)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
49.9% (3,381)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Desharnais
Dowd
P1
51.1%
51.7%
P2
53.1%
50.4%
P3
48.5%
50.3%
OT
51.2%
45.9%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
50.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 12:25 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 04:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 15:22 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 15:16 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 04:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 01:52 | Neutral | David Desharnais |