Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 48.8% vs Foligno 48.2% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 51.8%
Defensive zone
Foligno 50.5%
Neutral zone
Foligno 52.9%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Desharnais
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Desharnais
Foligno
Last 5: Desharnais 1-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
3
Desharnais
Foligno
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Desharnais
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (704)
50.0% (152)
-3.1%
Power Play
64.5% (93)
41.2% (17)
+23.3%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
0.0% (7)
+16.7%
On power play, Desharnais has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Desharnais is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Desharnais shoots left. Foligno is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Foligno
Home
50.8% (374)
48.1% (77)
Away
46.9% (429)
46.5% (99)
By Period
Desharnais
Foligno
P1
46.0%
43.1%
P2
50.2%
50.8%
P3
50.2%
48.9%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
48.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |