Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 48.8% vs Spaling 51.2% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Desharnais 78.9%
Defensive zone
Spaling 55.0%
Neutral zone
Desharnais 59.6%
Result
David Desharnais favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Desharnais
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Desharnais
Spaling
Last 7: Desharnais 2-5 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Desharnais
Spaling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Desharnais
Spaling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
3
Desharnais
Spaling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (704)
52.5% (461)
-5.6%
Power Play
64.5% (93)
66.7% (9)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
46.6% (131)
-29.9%
On penalty kill, Spaling has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Desharnais is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Desharnais shoots left. Spaling is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (356).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Spaling
Home
50.8% (374)
57.2% (297)
Away
46.9% (429)
45.7% (304)
By Period
Desharnais
Spaling
P1
46.0%
54.2%
P2
50.2%
46.6%
P3
50.2%
54.3%
OT
40.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
48.7%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2015 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 2 | 03:57 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 2 | 03:50 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 2 | 01:28 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |