Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 49.5% vs Jokinen 46.8% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 51.0%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 67.1%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 60.6%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Desharnais
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Desharnais
Jokinen
Last 10: Desharnais 3-7 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
3
2
Desharnais
Jokinen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
2
1
Desharnais
Jokinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
7
Desharnais
Jokinen
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (1,022)
46.8% (1,017)
+0.7%
Power Play
57.5% (273)
47.6% (185)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (43)
40.7% (113)
+12.8%
On penalty kill, Desharnais has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Desharnais is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (902).
Desharnais shoots left. Jokinen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Jokinen
Home
49.8% (701)
47.1% (652)
Away
49.1% (670)
46.0% (681)
By Period
Desharnais
Jokinen
P1
48.8%
43.8%
P2
53.2%
49.5%
P3
46.0%
44.6%
OT
47.1%
68.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 11:26 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 04:52 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 12:21 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 09:27 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | David Desharnais |