Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 52.7% vs Jokinen 42.8% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Desharnais 76.9%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 65.6%
Neutral zone
Desharnais 50.8%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Desharnais
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Desharnais
Jokinen
Last 6: Desharnais 3-3 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
3
Desharnais
Jokinen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Desharnais
2
0
Desharnais
Jokinen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (994)
40.4% (275)
+11.0%
Power Play
61.5% (187)
50.0% (14)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
39.0% (41)
-1.5%
On power play, Desharnais has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Desharnais is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Desharnais shoots left. Jokinen is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Jokinen
Home
53.8% (610)
37.9% (145)
Away
52.0% (579)
42.7% (185)
By Period
Desharnais
Jokinen
P1
49.7%
48.2%
P2
57.7%
38.5%
P3
49.9%
34.7%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
52.9%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 01:02 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 02:09 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |