Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 49.7% vs Gaustad 59.0% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Desharnais 72.0%
Defensive zone
Desharnais 78.1%
Neutral zone
Desharnais 75.1%
Result
David Desharnais favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Desharnais
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Desharnais
Gaustad
Last 10: Desharnais 4-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
2
Desharnais
Gaustad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
4
6
Desharnais
Gaustad
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
4
Desharnais
Gaustad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (363)
58.6% (790)
-8.5%
Power Play
50.9% (53)
66.7% (93)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
61.0% (269)
-22.5%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Desharnais is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Desharnais shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Gaustad
Home
50.9% (212)
60.6% (554)
Away
48.5% (233)
58.9% (604)
By Period
Desharnais
Gaustad
P1
54.5%
61.3%
P2
51.2%
55.5%
P3
42.6%
62.3%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
49.7%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 01:33 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 01:25 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 19:05 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 14:31 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 18:38 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 17:55 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 16:38 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 2 | 02:56 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |