Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Desharnais on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 50.8% vs Stastny 53.8% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Desharnais 50.8%
Defensive zone
Stastny 74.2%
Neutral zone
Stastny 62.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Desharnais
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Desharnais
Stastny
Last 5: Desharnais 4-1 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Desharnais
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Desharnais
4
0
Desharnais
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (973)
53.2% (995)
-3.1%
Power Play
57.9% (202)
57.6% (158)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
61.4% (57)
-35.5%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +35.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Desharnais is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Desharnais shoots left. Stastny is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Stastny
Home
52.7% (592)
55.1% (586)
Away
49.0% (610)
53.2% (624)
By Period
Desharnais
Stastny
P1
52.2%
54.7%
P2
52.5%
53.1%
P3
47.7%
54.2%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
50.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 03:59 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | David Desharnais |