Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Desharnais wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 54.4% vs Zacha 44.6% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 86.6%
Defensive zone
Zacha 78.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 82.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 81.8%
18.2%
81.8%
Desharnais
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Desharnais
Zacha
Last 9: Desharnais 2-7 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Desharnais
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Desharnais
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
4
Desharnais
Zacha
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (630)
43.9% (643)
+10.7%
Power Play
58.0% (69)
48.9% (45)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
37.8% (37)
+62.2%
On penalty kill, Desharnais has a +62.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Desharnais is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Desharnais shoots left. Zacha is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Zacha
Home
57.1% (340)
44.6% (397)
Away
53.2% (361)
43.0% (328)
By Period
Desharnais
Zacha
P1
50.9%
43.5%
P2
60.0%
44.6%
P3
54.0%
43.8%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.4%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.1%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 16:33 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 11:54 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 15:10 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:52 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |