Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Desharnais wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 54.4% vs Kuraly 46.9% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 52.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 85.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 66.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Desharnais
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Desharnais
Kuraly
Last 6: Desharnais 2-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
1
0
Desharnais
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
4
Desharnais
Kuraly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (630)
46.0% (661)
+8.6%
Power Play
58.0% (69)
77.8% (9)
-19.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
47.1% (51)
+52.9%
On penalty kill, Desharnais has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Desharnais is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Desharnais shoots left. Kuraly is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (524).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Kuraly
Home
57.1% (340)
47.2% (335)
Away
53.2% (361)
45.9% (386)
By Period
Desharnais
Kuraly
P1
50.9%
47.1%
P2
60.0%
44.6%
P3
54.0%
48.1%
Final 5 min
55.4%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2018 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 1 | 05:49 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 1 | 03:02 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 17:12 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 07:58 | Offensive | David Desharnais |