Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Killorn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Killorn wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — Krejci shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Killorn 45.0% vs Krejci 50.1% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Killorn 65.4%
Defensive zone
Krejci 65.1%
Neutral zone
Killorn 57.0%
Result
Alex Killorn favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Killorn
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Killorn
Krejci
Last 5: Killorn 2-3 Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Killorn
2
1
Killorn
Krejci
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
0
2
Killorn
Krejci
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Killorn
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (65)
50.1% (982)
-14.7%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
50.0% (30)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
50.5% (105)
-0.5%
On even strength, Krejci has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. Killorn is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Killorn shoots left. Krejci is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Home / Away
Killorn
Krejci
Home
35.7% (42)
51.7% (571)
Away
42.1% (38)
48.5% (546)
By Period
Killorn
Krejci
P1
32.0%
52.9%
P2
42.9%
52.6%
P3
40.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
30.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Killorn
32.0%▼
33.5%
38.8%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Alex Killorn |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Alex Killorn |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 06:12 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | David Krejci |