Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cogliano wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Krejci shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cogliano 42.3% vs Krejci 48.8% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cogliano 57.9%
Defensive zone
Cogliano 78.7%
Neutral zone
Cogliano 67.3%
Result
Andrew Cogliano favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Cogliano
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cogliano
Krejci
Last 5: Cogliano 1-4 Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
0
4
Cogliano
Krejci
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cogliano
1
0
Cogliano
Krejci
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cogliano
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (810)
49.1% (872)
-7.5%
Power Play
43.9% (66)
46.3% (177)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (215)
48.8% (86)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Krejci has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. Cogliano is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Cogliano shoots left. Krejci is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Cogliano
Krejci
Home
43.7% (572)
49.7% (557)
Away
39.4% (536)
47.8% (592)
By Period
Cogliano
Krejci
P1
39.2%
47.4%
P2
37.4%
49.5%
P3
48.2%
48.1%
OT
38.9%
64.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cogliano
30.0%▼
36.5%
41.6%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Andrew Cogliano |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | David Krejci |