Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Vermette wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Krejci shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 59.1% vs Krejci 51.7% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 50.0%
Defensive zone
Vermette 95.9%
Neutral zone
Vermette 83.9%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Vermette
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Vermette
Krejci
Last 5: Vermette 4-1 Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
0
1
Vermette
Krejci
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
3
0
Vermette
Krejci
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
1
0
Vermette
Krejci
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (767)
52.3% (826)
+8.2%
Power Play
61.9% (84)
48.8% (121)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (164)
55.0% (20)
+1.7%
On power play, Vermette has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. Vermette is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (400).
Vermette shoots left. Krejci is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Vermette
Krejci
Home
63.0% (481)
54.0% (459)
Away
57.3% (534)
50.0% (508)
By Period
Vermette
Krejci
P1
61.6%
52.7%
P2
60.4%
50.6%
P3
58.9%
52.8%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
60.0%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 13:39 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 13:59 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |