Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 47.4%). Nelson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Krejci shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Krejci 47.7% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 58.0%
Defensive zone
Krejci 64.8%
Neutral zone
Krejci 54.3%
Result
David Krejci favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Nelson
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Nelson
Krejci
Last 6: Nelson 1-5 Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Krejci
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
0
2
Nelson
Krejci
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
0
2
Nelson
Krejci
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
47.2% (669)
-0.3%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
53.7% (54)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
35.3% (17)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Krejci has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. Nelson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Nelson shoots left. Krejci is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Home / Away
Nelson
Krejci
Home
48.9% (521)
52.0% (381)
Away
45.5% (516)
42.6% (359)
By Period
Nelson
Krejci
P1
45.9%
47.2%
P2
48.0%
43.7%
P3
48.0%
51.9%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 08:17 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 08:11 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 08:03 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |