Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Krejci shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 50.1% vs Krejci 48.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 59.2%
Defensive zone
Krejci 59.5%
Neutral zone
Krejci 55.4%
Result
David Krejci favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Jarnkrok
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jarnkrok
Krejci
Last 5: Jarnkrok 2-3 Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
0
1
Jarnkrok
Krejci
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
1
Jarnkrok
Krejci
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
0
1
Jarnkrok
Krejci
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (301)
48.0% (999)
+2.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
54.0% (63)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
48.5% (33)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Krejci has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. Jarnkrok is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Krejci is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Krejci
Home
53.8% (210)
50.4% (570)
Away
43.8% (121)
46.3% (525)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Krejci
P1
48.7%
48.2%
P2
54.0%
48.2%
P3
47.6%
48.5%
Final 5 min
44.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.2%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 19:35 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 19:05 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 12:52 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | David Krejci |