Scouting Report
Chad Rau holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rau 51.5% vs Krejci 51.9% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 69.3%
Defensive zone
Rau 50.2%
Neutral zone
Rau 58.5%
Result
David Krejci favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Rau
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Rau
Krejci
Last 5: Rau 4-1 Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rau
2
0
Rau
Krejci
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rau
Krejci
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rau
1
0
Rau
Krejci
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rau
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (63)
52.0% (835)
+0.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.4% (163)
+46.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
51.4% (37)
+48.6%
On penalty kill, Rau has a +48.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. Rau is 68.4% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Rau shoots right. Krejci is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Rau
Krejci
Home
51.6% (31)
56.8% (525)
Away
55.9% (34)
47.3% (520)
By Period
Rau
Krejci
P1
58.8%
51.4%
P2
57.1%
57.5%
P3
48.1%
46.8%
Final 5 min
45.5%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rau
52.0%▼
53.8%
53.8%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Chad Rau |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Chad Rau |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 06:14 | Neutral | Chad Rau |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Chad Rau |