Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.1%). Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 51.7% vs MacKenzie 51.8% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 81.0%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 59.8%
Neutral zone
Krejci 57.8%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Krejci
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Krejci
MacKenzie
Last 8: Krejci 1-7 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
1
Krejci
MacKenzie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
5
Krejci
MacKenzie
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
1
Krejci
MacKenzie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (826)
55.7% (438)
-3.4%
Power Play
48.8% (121)
80.0% (5)
-31.2%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (20)
41.4% (162)
+13.6%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Krejci is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Krejci shoots right. MacKenzie is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Krejci
MacKenzie
Home
54.0% (459)
51.3% (312)
Away
50.0% (508)
52.9% (293)
By Period
Krejci
MacKenzie
P1
52.7%
50.5%
P2
50.6%
48.8%
P3
52.8%
57.4%
Final 5 min
48.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
51.9%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |