Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stafford on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Krejci wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stafford shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 52.7% vs Stafford 49.6% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 57.0%
Defensive zone
Krejci 58.2%
Neutral zone
Krejci 60.4%
Result
David Krejci favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Krejci
Stafford
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Krejci
Stafford
Last 5: Krejci 3-2 Stafford
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stafford
1
2
Krejci
Stafford
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
2
0
Krejci
Stafford
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Stafford
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (534)
55.0% (100)
-2.8%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
46.6% (58)
+23.4%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (30)
25.0% (16)
+28.3%
On penalty kill, Krejci has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stafford shoots right. Krejci is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Krejci shoots right. Stafford is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Krejci
Stafford
Home
58.9% (302)
53.9% (102)
Away
47.3% (292)
43.1% (72)
By Period
Krejci
Stafford
P1
55.6%
50.0%
P2
53.6%
51.6%
P3
51.1%
47.2%
OT
36.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
53.2%
Stafford
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | David Krejci |