Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Krejci wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 51.9% vs Beagle 55.2% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 60.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 87.6%
Neutral zone
Beagle 71.5%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Krejci
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Krejci
Beagle
Last 6: Krejci 4-2 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
2
0
Krejci
Beagle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
2
Krejci
Beagle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
1
0
Krejci
Beagle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (835)
60.7% (173)
-8.7%
Power Play
53.4% (163)
25.0% (4)
+28.4%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
44.1% (34)
+7.3%
On power play, Krejci has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Krejci is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Krejci shoots right. Beagle is 62.9% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Krejci
Beagle
Home
56.8% (525)
58.3% (115)
Away
47.3% (520)
57.0% (100)
By Period
Krejci
Beagle
P1
51.4%
57.1%
P2
57.5%
55.6%
P3
46.8%
62.1%
OT
60.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
52.1%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 1 | 17:53 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 17:48 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |