Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Krejci wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Smithson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 48.8% vs Smithson 56.8% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 70.4%
Defensive zone
Smithson 87.9%
Neutral zone
Smithson 77.9%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Krejci
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Krejci
Smithson
Last 5: Krejci 3-2 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
2
0
Krejci
Smithson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
1
0
Krejci
Smithson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
0
2
Krejci
Smithson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (872)
59.8% (778)
-10.7%
Power Play
46.3% (177)
54.2% (24)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
49.0% (198)
-0.2%
On even strength, Smithson has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. Krejci is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (367).
Krejci shoots right. Smithson is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Krejci
Smithson
Home
49.7% (557)
59.2% (534)
Away
47.8% (592)
55.5% (472)
By Period
Krejci
Smithson
P1
47.4%
56.1%
P2
49.5%
58.0%
P3
48.1%
58.6%
OT
64.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
48.7%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 03:32 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | David Krejci |