Scouting Report
Jesse Winchester holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Winchester on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Krejci wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Winchester shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 51.9% vs Winchester 52.5% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 81.7%
Defensive zone
Winchester 61.9%
Neutral zone
Winchester 57.4%
Result
Jesse Winchester favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Krejci
Winchester
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Krejci
Winchester
Last 5: Krejci 0-5 Winchester
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
0
1
Krejci
Winchester
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Winchester
0
4
Krejci
Winchester
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Winchester
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (835)
55.9% (177)
-3.9%
Power Play
53.4% (163)
66.7% (3)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
46.3% (54)
+5.1%
On power play, Winchester has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Winchester shoots right. Krejci is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Krejci shoots right. Winchester is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Krejci
Winchester
Home
56.8% (525)
57.1% (98)
Away
47.3% (520)
51.1% (137)
By Period
Krejci
Winchester
P1
51.4%
44.6%
P2
57.5%
59.3%
P3
46.8%
55.9%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
52.1%
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 19:27 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 2 | 13:31 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 2 | 06:54 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 1 | 09:40 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |