Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.9% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 20-16 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Krejci 60.5%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 50.6%
Neutral zone
Krejci 54.4%
Result
David Krejci favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Krejci
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
20
(36 meetings)
16
20
Krejci
Pavelski
Last 10: Krejci 1-9 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
5
8
Krejci
Pavelski
13 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Krejci
Pavelski
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
5
6
Krejci
Pavelski
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (9,657)
53.6% (8,791)
-3.0%
Power Play
55.3% (1,027)
58.2% (2,122)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (469)
50.9% (1,138)
-2.1%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Krejci is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,561).
Krejci shoots right. Pavelski is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,971).
Home / Away
Krejci
Pavelski
Home
53.1% (5,660)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
48.7% (5,517)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Krejci
Pavelski
P1
50.7%
53.5%
P2
51.8%
55.2%
P3
50.2%
53.9%
OT
53.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 13:30 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 03:53 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 19, 2017 | OT | 00:40 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 09:54 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 14:51 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:10 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Krejci |