Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 51.4% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Krejci leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 72.5%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 61.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 75.5%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Krejci
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Krejci
Pavelski
Last 10: Krejci 8-2 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
2
1
Krejci
Pavelski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
2
0
Krejci
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
4
1
Krejci
Pavelski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (1,151)
51.3% (643)
-0.2%
Power Play
61.2% (85)
58.1% (172)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
46.3% (41)
-2.1%
On power play, Krejci has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Krejci is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Krejci shoots right. Pavelski is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Krejci
Pavelski
Home
52.2% (619)
53.8% (431)
Away
50.9% (660)
51.1% (425)
By Period
Krejci
Pavelski
P1
46.1%
48.4%
P2
54.4%
52.0%
P3
53.2%
55.6%
OT
72.7%
80.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
51.5%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2017 | OT | 00:40 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 09:54 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 14:51 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:10 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Krejci |