Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Krejci wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Ward shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.1% vs Ward 48.4% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 72.8%
Defensive zone
Ward 57.1%
Neutral zone
Ward 52.9%
Result
David Krejci favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Krejci
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Krejci
Ward
Last 6: Krejci 4-2 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
3
1
Krejci
Ward
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
0
1
Krejci
Ward
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
1
0
Krejci
Ward
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (982)
49.3% (353)
+0.8%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
69.0% (42)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (105)
34.7% (98)
+15.8%
On power play, Ward has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Krejci is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Krejci shoots right. Ward is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Krejci
Ward
Home
51.7% (571)
48.4% (219)
Away
48.5% (546)
47.8% (274)
By Period
Krejci
Ward
P1
52.9%
43.0%
P2
52.6%
51.4%
P3
45.0%
50.0%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2016 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 00:39 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Joel Ward |