Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 51.7% vs Larsson 53.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 81.8%
Defensive zone
Larsson 66.2%
Neutral zone
Krejci 55.1%
Result
David Krejci favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Krejci
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Krejci
Larsson
Last 9: Krejci 2-7 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Krejci
Larsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
5
Krejci
Larsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (826)
54.8% (509)
-2.5%
Power Play
48.8% (121)
36.4% (11)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (20)
54.6% (119)
+0.4%
On power play, Krejci has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Krejci is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Krejci shoots right. Larsson is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Krejci
Larsson
Home
54.0% (459)
57.5% (301)
Away
50.0% (508)
51.8% (338)
By Period
Krejci
Larsson
P1
52.7%
54.8%
P2
50.6%
49.1%
P3
52.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
60.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
51.9%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2018 | 3 | 00:54 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 1 | 10:06 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 1 | 07:04 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |