Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Krejci wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 48.5% vs Barzal 42.8% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 55.0%
Defensive zone
Barzal 59.4%
Neutral zone
Barzal 53.5%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Krejci
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Krejci
Barzal
Last 5: Krejci 2-3 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
2
Krejci
Barzal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Krejci
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
1
0
Krejci
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (999)
41.9% (516)
+6.1%
Power Play
54.0% (63)
40.0% (60)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (33)
25.0% (4)
+23.5%
On penalty kill, Krejci has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Krejci is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Krejci shoots right. Barzal is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Krejci
Barzal
Home
50.4% (570)
46.9% (303)
Away
46.3% (525)
35.7% (277)
By Period
Krejci
Barzal
P1
48.2%
39.9%
P2
48.2%
45.1%
P3
48.5%
39.9%
OT
57.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
48.4%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 01:40 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 17:56 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 07:05 | Neutral | David Krejci |