Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ellis on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.9% vs Ellis 46.8% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Krejci leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Krejci 78.6%
Defensive zone
Ellis 53.5%
Neutral zone
Krejci 50.7%
Result
David Krejci favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Krejci
Ellis
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Krejci
Ellis
Last 10: Krejci 6-4 Ellis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
3
1
Krejci
Ellis
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
4
2
Krejci
Ellis
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ellis
2
5
Krejci
Ellis
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Ellis
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (9,657)
47.3% (607)
+3.3%
Power Play
55.3% (1,027)
28.6% (7)
+26.7%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (469)
42.1% (95)
+6.7%
On power play, Krejci has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ellis shoots left. Krejci is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,616).
Krejci shoots right. Ellis is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Krejci
Ellis
Home
53.1% (5,660)
48.5% (303)
Away
48.7% (5,517)
44.8% (406)
By Period
Krejci
Ellis
P1
50.7%
50.0%
P2
51.8%
46.2%
P3
50.2%
41.3%
OT
53.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 04:50 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 14:07 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Matt Ellis |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 08:06 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 18:34 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 18:19 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 09:56 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 07:24 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | David Krejci |