Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 51.1% vs Ellis 44.7% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 65.5%
Defensive zone
Ellis 63.8%
Neutral zone
Ellis 52.6%
Result
Matt Ellis favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Krejci
Ellis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Krejci
Ellis
Last 6: Krejci 3-3 Ellis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ellis
0
1
Krejci
Ellis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
3
1
Krejci
Ellis
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ellis
0
1
Krejci
Ellis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Ellis
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (1,019)
41.9% (129)
+8.1%
Power Play
63.1% (130)
0.0% (3)
+63.1%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (59)
44.1% (34)
+1.7%
On power play, Krejci has a +63.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ellis shoots left. Krejci is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (789).
Krejci shoots right. Ellis is 25.0% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Krejci
Ellis
Home
53.7% (648)
39.6% (53)
Away
48.2% (560)
42.5% (113)
By Period
Krejci
Ellis
P1
50.4%
40.7%
P2
50.6%
46.0%
P3
52.6%
34.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
36.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
51.2%
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 04:50 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 14:07 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Matt Ellis |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 08:06 | Defensive | David Krejci |