Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.7%). Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.9% vs Dowd 50.7% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 20-13 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Krejci 85.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 87.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Krejci
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
20
(33 meetings)
13
20
Krejci
Dowd
Last 10: Krejci 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
7
1
Krejci
Dowd
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
10
Krejci
Dowd
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
9
Krejci
Dowd
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (9,657)
52.4% (6,009)
-1.8%
Power Play
55.3% (1,027)
56.1% (164)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (469)
44.1% (1,635)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, Krejci has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Krejci is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,561).
Krejci shoots right. Dowd is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,675).
Home / Away
Krejci
Dowd
Home
53.1% (5,660)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
48.7% (5,517)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Krejci
Dowd
P1
50.7%
51.7%
P2
51.8%
50.4%
P3
50.2%
50.3%
OT
53.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
50.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 10:13 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 19:56 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 14:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 05:49 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 3 | 06:14 | Neutral | David Krejci |