Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 53.6% vs Dowd 55.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Krejci 90.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 64.8%
Neutral zone
Krejci 55.8%
Result
David Krejci favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Krejci
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
15
(25 meetings)
10
15
Krejci
Dowd
Last 10: Krejci 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
6
0
Krejci
Dowd
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
10
Krejci
Dowd
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
5
Krejci
Dowd
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (546)
58.2% (617)
-4.2%
Power Play
57.1% (42)
71.4% (7)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
47.2% (144)
+2.8%
On power play, Dowd has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Krejci is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Krejci shoots right. Dowd is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Krejci
Dowd
Home
52.2% (335)
58.4% (399)
Away
56.8% (257)
53.9% (369)
By Period
Krejci
Dowd
P1
55.3%
59.0%
P2
55.2%
56.1%
P3
51.6%
54.6%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
54.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 10:13 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 19:56 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 14:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 05:49 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 3 | 06:14 | Neutral | David Krejci |