Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.9% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 32-27 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
Krejci 57.8%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 72.1%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 61.0%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Krejci
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
32
(59 meetings)
27
32
Krejci
Bjugstad
Last 10: Krejci 6-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
10
7
Krejci
Bjugstad
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
7
14
Krejci
Bjugstad
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
10
11
Krejci
Bjugstad
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (9,657)
48.6% (6,634)
+2.0%
Power Play
55.3% (1,027)
55.2% (829)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (469)
44.3% (614)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Krejci has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Krejci is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,561).
Krejci shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,330).
Home / Away
Krejci
Bjugstad
Home
53.1% (5,660)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
48.7% (5,517)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Krejci
Bjugstad
P1
50.7%
49.0%
P2
51.8%
49.1%
P3
50.2%
48.4%
OT
53.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 14:01 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 16:42 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 3 | 08:14 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 2 | 04:54 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 17:29 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 09:54 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 01:43 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 15:45 | Offensive | David Krejci |