Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Krejci wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 48.5% vs Schmaltz 40.4% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 75.1%
Defensive zone
Krejci 84.9%
Neutral zone
Krejci 84.2%
Result
David Krejci favored at 81.3%
81.3%
18.7%
Krejci
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Krejci
Schmaltz
Last 6: Krejci 5-1 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Krejci
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
1
0
Krejci
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krejci
3
0
Krejci
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (999)
37.6% (237)
+10.4%
Power Play
54.0% (63)
32.5% (40)
+21.5%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (33)
50.0% (4)
-1.5%
On power play, Krejci has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Krejci is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Krejci shoots right. Schmaltz is 36.4% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Krejci
Schmaltz
Home
50.4% (570)
42.6% (129)
Away
46.3% (525)
32.2% (152)
By Period
Krejci
Schmaltz
P1
48.2%
38.8%
P2
48.2%
29.4%
P3
48.5%
42.2%
OT
57.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
48.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
37.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 11:31 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 08:40 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 02:26 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |