Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Krejci wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 51.9% vs Berglund 48.7% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 51.5%
Defensive zone
Berglund 61.6%
Neutral zone
Berglund 58.4%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Krejci
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Krejci
Berglund
Last 5: Krejci 0-5 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
1
Krejci
Berglund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
1
Krejci
Berglund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
3
Krejci
Berglund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (835)
48.3% (895)
+3.7%
Power Play
53.4% (163)
50.4% (141)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
48.3% (120)
+3.1%
On even strength, Krejci has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Krejci is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Krejci shoots right. Berglund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Krejci
Berglund
Home
56.8% (525)
50.9% (593)
Away
47.3% (520)
46.1% (575)
By Period
Krejci
Berglund
P1
51.4%
50.9%
P2
57.5%
45.3%
P3
46.8%
50.8%
OT
60.0%
39.1%
Final 5 min
52.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
52.1%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2012 | 2 | 12:38 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 22, 2012 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 22, 2012 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 22, 2012 | 1 | 02:38 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 22, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |